THE EFFECT OF POPULATION GROWTH AND INFLATION ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN EAST ASIA

Authors

  • Nikolas Steven Universitas Pelita Harapan
  • Michelle Susanto Wijasari Universitas Pelita Harapan
  • Evan Kaban Putera Universitas Pelita Harapan
  • Ferry Ferdinand Vincenttius Universitas Pelita Harapan

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.35794/jmbi.v11i1.55231

Abstract

Abstract . This study delves into the longstanding debate surrounding the impact of population growth and inflation on economic growth, particularly focusing on East Asia. Past studies on the impact of population growth and inflation on economic growth have yielded contradictory results, with some indicating positive effects, others suggesting negative effects, and some find no significant impact at all. This study aims to find whether population growth and inflation affects the economic growth of East Asia using panel data regression. The data are taken from sample of East Asian countries from 2001-2022 annually. The findings reveal that when population growth and inflation are considered together, they have a significant effect on the economic growth of East Asia. Specifically, it was found that population growth has a significant positive relationship on the economic growth of East Asia. Conversely, inflation does not have a significant effect on the economic growth of East Asia.

 

Abstrak. Studi ini menyelidiki perdebatan lama seputar dampak pertumbuhan penduduk dan inflasi terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi, khususnya dengan fokus di Asia Timur. Penelitian-penelitian terdahulu mengenai dampak pertumbuhan penduduk dan inflasi terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi memberikan hasil yang kontradiktif, ada yang menunjukkan dampak positif, ada pula yang menunjukkan dampak negatif, dan ada pula yang tidak menunjukkan dampak signifikan sama sekali. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui apakah pertumbuhan penduduk dan inflasi berpengaruh terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Asia Timur dengan menggunakan regresi data panel. Data diambil dari sampel negara-negara Asia Timur dari tahun 2001-2022 setiap tahunnya. Temuan mengungkapkan bahwa jika pertumbuhan penduduk dan inflasi digabungkan, keduanya mempunyai pengaruh yang signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Asia Timur. Secara khusus ditemukan bahwa pertumbuhan penduduk memiliki hubungan positif yang signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Asia Timur. Sebaliknya inflasi tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Asia Timur.

References

Ali, S., Ali, A., & Amin, A. (2013). The impact of population growth on economic development in Pakistan. Middle East Journal of Scientific Research, 18(4), 483–491. https://doi.org/10.5829/idosi.mejsr.2013.18.4.12404

Ali, S., Ali, A., & Amin, A. (2013). The impact of population growth on economic development in Pakistan. Middle East Journal of Scientific Research, 18(4), 483–491. https://doi.org/10.5829/idosi.mejsr.2013.18.4.12404

Cai, F., & Lu, Y. (2013). Population Change and Resulting Slowdown in Potential GDP Growth in China. China & World Economy, 21(2), 1–14.

Çanakci, M. (2021). International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues Does Inflation Affect Economic Growth? A case of Turkey and U.S. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues |, 11(3), 2021. https://doi.org/10.32479/ijefi.11379

Dao, M. Q. (2012). Population and Economic Growth in Developing Countries. Article in International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, 2(1), 6–17.

Fischer, S. (1993). The role of macroeconomic factors in growth. In Journal of Monetary Economics (Vol. 32).

Gylfason, T., & Herbertsson, T. T. (2001). Does inflation matter for growth? Japan and the World Economy, 13(4), 405–428.

Khan, M., & Hanif, W. (2020). Institutional quality and the relationship between inflation and economic growth. Empirical Economics, 58(2), 627–649. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-018-1479-7

Malthus, T. (1998). An Essay on the Principle of Population. Electronic Scholarly Publishing Project

Mandala, R. A. M. (2020). Inflation, Government Expenditure, and Economic Growth in Indonesia. Jambura Equilibrium Journal, 2(2), 109–118.

Mankiw, N. G. (2021). Principles Of Economics (9th ed.). Cengage Learning.

Pitoy, R. R., Saerang, I. S., & Tulung, J. E. (2022). Reaksi Pasar Modal Terhadap Disahkannya RUU Cipta Kerja Menjadi Undang-Undang Pada Emiten Perbankan. JMBI UNSRAT (Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen Bisnis Dan Inovasi Universitas Sam Ratulangi)., 9(1). https://doi.org/10.35794/jmbi.v9i1.40783

Suluk, S. (2021). The Relationship between Population Growth and Economic Growth: The Case of Singapore. International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, 11(12). https://doi.org/10.6007/ijarbss/v11-i12/11702

Tulung, J. E. (2010). Global Determinants of Entry Mode Choice. Journal of Indonesian Economy and Business, 25(2), 155-169.

Vaona, A., & Schiavo, S. (2007). Nonparametric and semiparametric evidence on the long-run effects of inflation on growth. Economics Letters, 94(3), 452–458. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2006.09.004

Downloads

Published

2024-04-30

How to Cite

Steven, N., Wijasari, M. S., Putera, E. K., & Vincenttius, F. F. (2024). THE EFFECT OF POPULATION GROWTH AND INFLATION ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN EAST ASIA. JMBI UNSRAT (Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen Bisnis Dan Inovasi Universitas Sam Ratulangi)., 11(1), 930–935. https://doi.org/10.35794/jmbi.v11i1.55231